← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Swansea win | 22% | 4.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Swansea −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lewis O'Brien · Swansea |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
| 60' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days |
| 285.00 |
| 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1534.80 | 1436.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.87 | 8.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 76.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.30 | 26.84 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 401.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.22 |