← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 41% | 2.33 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bristol City +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 21' | ⚽ | Karamoko Dembélé · QPR |
| 30' | ⚽ | George Earthy · Bristol City |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 68' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days |
| 559.00 |
| 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1421.64 | 1530.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.55 | 15.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 49.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.82 |