← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Derby win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.41 |
| Over | 31% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jacob Widell Zetterström · Derby |
| 21' | 🟨 | Matthew Clarke · Derby |
| 27' | 🟨 | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
| 33' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · Portsmouth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Mendez-Laing · Derby |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ebou Adams · Derby |
| 68' | 🟨 | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Derby |
| 71' | ⚽ | Robert Atkinson · Portsmouth |
| 75' | ⚽ (og) | Robert Atkinson |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| 80' | 🟨 | Robert Atkinson · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robert Atkinson · Portsmouth |
| coach days | 832.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1462.09 | 1353.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.94 | 53.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 58.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 35.20 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -2.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | 1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.33 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -1.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 237.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.79 |