← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Blackburn win | 19% | 5.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Luton −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 47' | 🟨 | Kristi Montgomery · Blackburn |
| 52' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 58' | 🟨 | Kristi Montgomery · Blackburn |
| 58' | 🟥 | Kristi Montgomery · Blackburn |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 73' | 🟨 | Teden Mengi · Luton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Balázs Tóth · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 101.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1399.36 | 1403.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.95 | -45.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 40.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.31 | — |
| state index | -0.05 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 247.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.70 |