← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Apr 9, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Portsmouth win | 18% | 5.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Coventry −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Connor Ogilvie · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jamie Paterson · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jamie Paterson · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 159.00 |
| 829.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1508.35 | 1469.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.08 | -11.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| league points | 59.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 4.31 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| solidity v1 | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 186.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.72 |