← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Apr 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| QPR win | 32% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Oxford −0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ronnie Edwards · QPR |
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Ole Romeny · QPR |
| 62' | ⚽ | Stanley Mills · Oxford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Stanley Mills · Oxford |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lucas Andersen · QPR |
| 87' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 89' | 🟨 | Paul Nardi · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yang Min-hyeok · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| 129.00 |
| 556.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1454.44 | 1401.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.60 | -24.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.16 | -0.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.24 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.62 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.79 |