← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 8, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Hull win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hull +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissoko · Watford |
| 55' | ⚽ | Moussa Sissoko · Watford |
| 67' | 🟨 | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Ince · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| 403.00 |
| 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1409.91 | 1430.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.29 | 17.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 53.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.49 |
| solidity v1 | 1.24 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 24.85 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 233.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.22 |