← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 8, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 38% | 2.57 |
| West Brom win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 81' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 89' | 🟥 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tammer Bany · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 524.00 |
| 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.01 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1522.91 | 1486.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.18 | -14.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 60.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.79 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.07 |