← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Plymouth win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Norwich +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
| 46' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 94.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1392.77 | 1433.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.56 | -5.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.64 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.06 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | 1.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.71 |