← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Oxford win | 19% | 5.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Sheffield United +0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Siriki Dembélé · Oxford |
| 52' | 🟨 | Hidde ter Avest · Oxford |
| 60' | 🟨 | Anel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United |
| 74' | 🟨 | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Robinson · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Kassam Stadium |
| coach days |
| 125.00 |
| 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1442.65 | 1565.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.23 | 34.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 42.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.69 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.32 |