← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Sunderland win | 29% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| West Brom −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alan Browne · Sunderland |
| 60' | 🟨 | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
| 62' | 🟨 | Eliezer Mayenda · Sunderland |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 88' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 4.00 |
| 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1497.53 | 1525.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.81 | 2.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| league points | 57.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.85 | 6.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.08 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 23.92 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 270.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.67 |