← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Coventry win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 16' | ⚽ | Jaidon Anthony · Burnley |
| 18' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 18' | 🟨 | Josh Brownhill · Burnley |
| 46' | ⚽ | Jaidon Anthony · Burnley |
| 70' | 🟨 | CJ Egan-Riley · Burnley |
| 84' | 🟨 | Hannibal Mejbri · Burnley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 155.00 |
| 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1516.77 | 1632.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.63 | 21.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 67.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.89 |
| league points | 59.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.65 | 6.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| solidity v1 | 0.26 | 1.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.20 | 1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 156.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 0.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.88 |