← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 4, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 38% | 2.51 |
| Blackburn win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Blackburn +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 8' | ⚽ | Samuel Iling Junior · Middlesbrough |
| 23' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 62' | 🟨 | John Buckley · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 62.00 | 916.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1419.37 | 1463.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.83 | 10.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.58 |
| solidity v1 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.85 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 125.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.04 |