← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Millwall win | 17% | 5.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Millwall −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 20' | ⚽ | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 26' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 36' | 🟨 | Aidomo Emakhu · Millwall |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aaron Connolly · Millwall |
| 69' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 73' | 🟨 | Casper De Norre · Millwall |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Watson · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 271.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1518.45 | 1467.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.58 | 2.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| league points | 69.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | 0.19 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 23.24 | — |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.06 |