← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 20' | ⚽ | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
| 37' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 40' | 🟨 | Danny Batth · Blackburn |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 81' | 🟨 | Freddie Potts · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days |
| 818.00 |
| 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1471.03 | 1426.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.99 | -57.66 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.27 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 340.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 0.78 |