← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 |
| Oxford win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oxford −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 48' | ⚽ | Kelechi Iheanacho · Middlesbrough |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 80' | ⚽ | Neto Borges · Middlesbrough |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ole Romeny · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 910.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1455.70 | 1450.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.78 | -22.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 54.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.55 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.55 |