← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 76% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 |
| Swansea win | 7% | 13.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Leeds −1.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 1' | ⚽ | Brenden Aaronson · Leeds |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ethan Ampadu · Leeds |
| 39' | 🟨 | Hannes Delcroix · Swansea |
| 64' | ⚽ | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 70' | 🟨 | Gonçalo Franco · Swansea |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lewis O'Brien · Swansea |
| 86' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 87' | 🟨 | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 637.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1637.17 | 1409.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.27 | 13.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.30 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| league points | 80.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.52 |
| solidity v1 | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 27.69 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 285.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 0.95 |