← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Cardiff win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 13' | 🟨 | Calum Chambers · Cardiff |
| 16' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 73' | ⚽ | Yakou Méïté · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 42.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1439.76 | 1379.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.49 | -12.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.84 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 255.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 0.89 |