← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Mar 12, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Blackburn win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Blackburn +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Ali Al-Hamadi · Stoke |
| 46' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sam Gallagher · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 70.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1396.91 | 1449.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.74 | -4.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 36.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 4.31 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.23 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 85.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.16 |