← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Mar 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Oxford win | 17% | 5.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Oxford −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 66' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 73' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 76' | ⚽ | Gustavo Puerta · Hull |
| 80' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gustavo Puerta · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gustavo Puerta · Hull |
| 90' | 🟥 | Gustavo Puerta · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| 101.00 |
| 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1416.81 | 1452.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.69 | -42.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.67 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 24.70 | — |
| state index | -0.21 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 0.69 |