← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| QPR win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| QPR −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 58' | ⚽ | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 80' | ⚽ | Steve Cook · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 892.00 | 527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1448.70 | 1420.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.27 | -19.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 50.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 347.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.98 |