← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| QPR win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| West Brom −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 39' | 🟨 | Steve Cook · QPR |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Adam Armstrong · West Brom |
| 45' | 🟥 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 51' | 🟨 | Mason Holgate · West Brom |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
| 66' | 🟨 | Liam Morrison · QPR |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alfie Lloyd · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Wildsmith · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 66.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.06 | 4.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1501.28 | 1426.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.19 | -4.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 52.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | 0.87 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.07 | — |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.02 |