← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Swansea win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Swansea +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Ji-sung Eom · Swansea |
| 28' | 🟨 | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 43' | 🟨 | Gonçalo Franco · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 35.00 | 889.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1418.38 | 1458.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.45 | -8.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.43 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 373.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.34 |