← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 61% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Cardiff win | 16% | 6.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Sunderland −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Eliezer Mayenda · Sunderland |
| 41' | ⚽ | Isaak Davies · Cardiff |
| 56' | 🟨 | Leo Fuhr Hjelde · Sunderland |
| 63' | 🟨 | Calum Chambers · Cardiff |
| 69' | 🟨 | Joel Bagan · Cardiff |
| 77' | ⚽ | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 250.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1532.77 | 1397.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.40 | -0.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 65.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.94 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 401.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.16 |