← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Stoke win | 19% | 5.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Stoke −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 31' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 65' | ⚽ | Sam Gallagher · Stoke |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ashley Phillips · Stoke |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sam Gallagher · Stoke |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 127.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1529.44 | 1401.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.47 | -28.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 53.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.19 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 75.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 0.95 |