← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Plymouth win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Plymouth −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Maksym Talovierov · Plymouth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tymoteusz Puchacz · Plymouth |
| 48' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 61' | ⚽ | Abu Kamara · Hull |
| 87' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 93.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1398.97 | 1421.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.12 | 17.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 10.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.44 | — |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 1.28 |