← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Portsmouth win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Luton −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
| 16' | 🟨 | Matt Ritchie · Portsmouth |
| 25' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
| 39' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jacob Brown · Luton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Kaminski · Luton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Saydee · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 59.00 | 790.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1359.86 | 1493.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.30 | 27.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 28.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | -0.99 |
| solidity v1 | -0.05 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | — |
| state index | -1.36 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| travel km | — | 128.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.91 |