← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Norwich win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Norwich +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 67' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Dennis · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Dennis · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟥 | Emmanuel Dennis · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ante Crnac · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andreas Weimann · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 28.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1465.20 | 1438.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.33 | 9.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 51.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 1.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 281.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.65 |