← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Stoke win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Stoke +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Marcus Forss · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jun-Ho Bae · Stoke |
| 52' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 75' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Middlesbrough |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jun-Ho Bae · Stoke |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andrew Moran · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 55.00 | 878.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1419.86 | 1436.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.20 | -48.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.17 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.43 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 187.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.23 |