← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Hull win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Hull +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 52' | ⚽ | Callum Robinson · Cardiff |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sivert Mannsverk · Cardiff |
| 81' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 177.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1394.50 | 1407.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.08 | 24.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -0.58 |
| solidity v1 | -1.64 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 317.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.11 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 0.82 |