← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Oxford win | 17% | 5.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Oxford −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 50' | 🟨 | Peter Kioso · Oxford |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Oxford |
| 79' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 82' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 90' | ⚽ | John Swift · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 52.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 1.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1483.73 | 1472.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.78 | -30.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.20 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.89 | — |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 0.82 |