β EFL Championship 2024-25 Β· Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn β0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Swansea β0.25 | 50% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | β½ | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 45' | β½ | Myles Peart-Harris Β· Swansea |
| 62' | β½ | Liam Cullen Β· Swansea |
| 64' | π¨ | Callum Brittain Β· Blackburn |
| 76' | π¨ | Tyrhys Dolan Β· Blackburn |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1396.17 | 1484.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.85 | 22.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | -0.88 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.78 | β |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| travel km | β | 251.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.61 |