← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Stoke win | 20% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.75 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Stoke −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lewis Dobbin · Norwich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lewis Baker · Stoke |
| 48' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 71' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Junior Tchamadeu · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Lewis Baker · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 236.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1426.22 | 1432.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.02 | 3.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 44.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.18 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 237.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 0.69 |