← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Cardiff win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cardiff +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
| 52' | 🟥 | Dimitris Goutas · Cardiff |
| 67' | ⚽ | Muhamed Tijani · Plymouth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muhamed Tijani · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Katic · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maksym Talovierov · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sivert Mannsverk · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 52.00 | 174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1423.91 | 1391.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.85 | -4.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 32.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.27 | -1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 2.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.32 |