← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Feb 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Plymouth win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Plymouth −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | ⚽ | Jacob Brown · Luton |
| 70' | ⚽ | Maksym Talovierov · Plymouth |
| 77' | 🟨 | Kornél Szűcs · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1370.61 | 1423.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.09 | 10.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.86 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 32.40 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -1.51 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.07 | — |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.30 |