← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Feb 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Attwell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 61% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Sunderland win | 15% | 6.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Leeds −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.92 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Leeds |
| 32' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
| 45' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 61' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 78' | ⚽ | Pascal Struijk · Leeds |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 83' | 🟨 | Anthony Patterson · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Junior Firpo · Leeds |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pascal Struijk · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 597.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1634.52 | 1543.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.43 | 12.60 |
| eye test v1 | 1.67 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 70.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 69.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.01 | 5.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | 0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 2.29 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 23.96 |
| state index | 1.51 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 126.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.63 | 1.55 |