← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 34% | 2.83 |
| West Brom win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| West Brom +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Joe Bryan · West Brom |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daryl Dike · West Brom |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | George Saville · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 76.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1463.95 | 1482.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.73 | -20.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | 1.34 |
| solidity v1 | -0.16 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.64 |