← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Luton win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Luton +0 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Anel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United |
| 30' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Sheffield United |
| 33' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Sheffield United |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marvelous Nakamba · Luton |
| 79' | ⚽ | Anel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kenilworth Road |
| coach days | 45.00 | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1377.82 | 1537.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.71 | 4.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.31 |
| solidity v1 | 0.26 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 25.22 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 179.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.48 |