← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Norwich win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Hull −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 47' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 56' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Norwich |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jacob Wright · Norwich |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 76.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1569.78 | 1630.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.45 | -0.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.84 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 167.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.42 |