← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
| Plymouth win | 22% | 4.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Plymouth −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Maksym Talovierov · Plymouth |
| 55' | ⚽ | Adam Forshaw · Blackburn |
| 78' | ⚽ | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 83' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 14.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1473.25 | 1434.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.12 | 10.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.79 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 48.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -1.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.00 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.15 |