← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 41% | 2.45 |
| Cardiff win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Bristol City +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sivert Mannsverk · Cardiff |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dimitris Goutas · Cardiff |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 167.00 | 472.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1390.58 | 1496.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.14 | 6.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| league points | 31.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -0.86 |
| solidity v1 | -1.39 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | — |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.15 |