← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Feb 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Luton win | 13% | 7.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Luton −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Enzo Le Fée · Sunderland |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lamine Fanne · Luton |
| 58' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joseph Johnson · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 226.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1537.13 | 1384.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.00 | -18.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.30 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 59.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 4.30 | 11.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.56 | 28.33 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 342.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 1.16 |