← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Feb 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Hull win | 17% | 5.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Burnley −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Bashir Humphreys · Burnley |
| 21' | ⚽ | Zian Flemming · Burnley |
| 41' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 226.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1597.16 | 1398.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.24 | 23.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.70 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| league points | 61.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 11.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 1.52 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.10 | 24.24 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 122.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.26 |