← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Wed, Feb 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Stoke win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 24' | 🟨 | Michael Rose · Stoke |
| 40' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ben Gibson · Stoke |
| 73' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcus McGuane · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 469.00 |
| 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1486.71 | 1430.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.25 | 3.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 42.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.32 | 11.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -0.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.37 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 0.85 |