← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Cardiff win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cardiff −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 17' | ⚽ | Conor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth |
| 22' | ⚽ | Callum O'Dowda · Cardiff |
| 75' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Portsmouth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dimitris Goutas · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Connor Ogilvie · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 772.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1460.88 | 1397.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.59 | 19.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 30.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.91 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.56 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 167.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.12 |