← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| QPR win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Coventry −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 25' | 🟨 | Kenneth Paal · QPR |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 102.00 | 499.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1493.82 | 1439.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.49 | 6.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 135.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.70 |