← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Derby win | 21% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Norwich −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Ebou Adams · Derby |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Phillips · Derby |
| 68' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jerry Yates · Derby |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 222.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1648.33 | 1536.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.78 | -48.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 42.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.74 | 27.92 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 188.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.85 |