← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.51 |
| Watford win | 14% | 7.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −1.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Sunderland −1.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mamadou Doumbia · Watford |
| 32' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 35' | 🟨 | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Tom Dele-Bashiru · Watford |
| 46' | ⚽ | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Enzo Le Fée · Sunderland |
| 80' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · Sunderland |
| 89' | ⚽ | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ian Carlo Poveda · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 222.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1542.17 | 1409.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.71 | -15.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.40 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 58.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 1.21 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.17 | 28.34 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 368.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 0.86 |