← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Blackburn win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Blackburn +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · QPR |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 76' | ⚽ | Jack Colback · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 492.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.52 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1430.46 | 1462.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.28 | -9.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.83 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 290.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.37 |