← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Feb 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Middlesbrough win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Middlesbrough +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 21' | 🟨 | Aidan Morris · Middlesbrough |
| 33' | ⚽ | Dan Neil · Sunderland |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 51' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor · Sunderland |
| 59' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟨 | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Ryan Giles · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ian Carlo Poveda · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 856.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1477.10 | 1532.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.16 | 20.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 44.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 9.21 | 9.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 24.47 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 38.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.52 |